Santorum surges?

Rick Santorum has gained a little traction in the Iowa caucuses, scheduled for January 3. Emphasis on “little.” He picked up endorsements that are meaningless outside of Iowa. There’s little doubt that he is one of two evangelical Christian candidates named Rick who won’t get the nomination. No matter what happens on January 3.

The Iowa caucuses may be fine for Iowa, but they’re hardly representative of how registered Republicans, let alone independents, will vote nationally. Especially in swing states that really count in this election: e.g. Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia.

Sen. Santorum has many virtues, among them that he is steadfast and true in his beliefs. But he lost, big, in his home state of Pennsylvania. It’s unclear why he would do any better there, or nation-wide, this time.

This entry at the WSJ Washington Wire blog captures Santorum’s problem:

Although the candidate is a favorite of Iowa’s evangelical Christians, he doesn’t perform well in national or statewide polls. The most recent survey of likely GOP caucus-goers released by the Des Moines Register put his support level at 6%.

Now, this needs to be taken with (several) grains of salt. The Register, after all, just recently endorsed Mitt Romney. Still, 6%? When both Gingrich and Romney are polling at 30%? Don’t think so.

Please don’t take any of this as Iowa-bashing. My daughter went to the University of Iowa, and I dearly love the state. But Iowa is not the United States. Not even close.

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